Michael A. Arouet

26, July #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: There is not a single week without a German...

There is not a single week without a German company announcing mass layoffs or closures. Germany is in the deepest structural crisis since WWII. Government spending masks the real magnitude It can’t continue forever, governments need taxes from the real economy to keep spending

https://x.com/MichaelAArouet/status/2081268334012571769

#WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

19, September #WirtschaftWackelt, #GrenzPolitik

Michael A. Arouet: Italy, Spain, Germany...

Italy, Spain, Germany and some other European countries built some of the world’s most solid pension systems. They are now running out of children. Fertility sits around 1.1–1.4. Italy and Spain are among the oldest large nations on earth. The ratio of workers to retirees is collapsing. Pensions and healthcare are pay-as-you-go systems designed for a pyramid, not an inverted one. Mass immigration is sold as the easy patch, but is it? Young arrivals can delay the crunch for a few years if they work and pay in. Large inflows into welfare, informal work or low-productivity jobs do the opposite: they raise immediate fiscal costs, strain housing, healthcare and schools, and add future claimants who will also grow old. Low-skill migration does not restore the contributor-to-beneficiary ratio these systems urgently need. It often worsens the net fiscal picture over a lifetime while leaving the native birth collapse untouched. What makes it even worse, competition for entry level jobs in countries with high youth unemployment like Spain makes it even harder for young people to find a job and start a family. You cannot import a working-age population forever without caring about background and integration. That creates two-tier societies that erode the solidarity the welfare state depends on. The honest conversation is harder: why families of two or three children became economically and culturally rare, and why housing, work and time no longer line up with having kids? Mass immigration of the current mix is a delay tactic. Is it the right solution though?

#WirtschaftWackelt, #GrenzPolitik

Michael A. Arouet

11, September #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: Believe it or not...

Believe it or not, but France charges a child €58k to inherit a €400k family home from his mother. Italy, Spain, Germany, the UK, Poland, Portugal: €0. United States: $0. One country treats a modest family home like a taxable windfall. The others treat it as what it is: a parent passing on what they already paid tax on all their life to a child. You can't call it solidarity, you can't call it fairness. It is stealing from the dead. Prove me wrong.

#WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

04, September #KonfliktModus

Michael A. Arouet: It may still be too early for a final judgment...

It may still be too early for a final judgment, but doesn’t the US attack on Iran start to feel like one of the biggest geopolitical miscalculations and mistakes in recent history? What’s the way out of this endeavor?

#KonfliktModus

Michael A. Arouet

31, August #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: This chart remains the best...

This chart remains the best evidence that Germany's demise is mostly self-inflicted. Decades of left-green policies have their price. What happened there will be seen one day as the largest self-sabotage of a developed economy ever. Don't be like Germany.

#WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

28, August #TrendHysterie, #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: Just think this French...

Just think this French left idea through. France defaults on its sovereign debt. What happens next? 1. Interests on new debt go to 10%, at least 2. France cannot pay pensions or government workers' salaries anymore, as they were debt-financed Other than that, a brilliant idea

#TrendHysterie, #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

24, August #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: French debt/GDP level today...

French debt/GDP level today is almost where Greece's debt was just before the first Euro crisis. The next Euro crisis will start in France, but this time it will be about trillions, not billions. Enjoy the party as long as it lasts.

#WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

20, August #EURechnung, #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: Europe used to build cathedrals...

Europe used to build cathedrals and empires, it used to be the global technology leader. When did Europe lose all its ambitions? Why don’t Europeans understand that the squeeze between the US and China will make them poor, insecure and irrelevant?

#EURechnung, #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

16, August #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: Serious question...

Serious question: If the left really cared about the climate, why do they close nuclear power plants? With nuclear, you can save the planet without sacrificing prosperity. Or isn’t it about climate? Is it simply Marxism disguised as environmentalism?

#WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

11, August #TrendHysterie, #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: There are about twice as many Germans...

There are about twice as many Germans in their 60s as children born today. It’s beyond me how people don’t understand what it means for society, economy, pensions, healthcare and real estate. Similar picture in Italy, Poland and Spain. Are you ready for what’s coming?

#TrendHysterie, #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

10, August #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: This is eye-opening...

This is eye-opening: the real economy in the UK has been stagnant since 2019, only the government keeps growing. That’s what happens when thousands of entrepreneurs have had enough of the left’s nonsense and emigrate each year. Seriously, how can the UK avoid a debt crisis?

#WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

07, August #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: How do the left keep...

How do the left keep a straight face when they punish people working there with higher taxes to redistribute the money to people who don’t want to work, and seriously call it “social justice”?

#WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

04, August #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: It's always funny when naive US...

It's always funny when naive US leftists talk about the European Nordic countries as an example of "democratic socialism“ and scream „tax the rich“. Guess what: "the rich" in the US pay more taxes than in Scandinavia. And Sweden abolished inheritance and wealth tax.

#WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

02, August #EURechnung, #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: European Net Zero achieved two things...

European Net Zero achieved two things: 1. Deindustrialization in Europe due to high energy costs, many well-paid jobs lost. 2. The same products come now from Asia, but with higher emissions to build and ship. Cars, for example, cause 70% more emissions. Isn’t that genius?

#EURechnung, #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

30, July #TrendHysterie, #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: The next heatwave has just hit Europe...

The next heatwave has just hit Europe. Thousands will die again. The same greens who shut down nuclear power plants but kept coal instead are still arguing against air-conditioning. Make energy cheap again. Get production from Asia, where it causes more emissions, back to Europe

#TrendHysterie, #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

29, July #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: Everyone has heard about the amazing...

Everyone has heard about the amazing Polish economic wonder. Poland did many things right, the eight below explain that. Other European countries stagnate because they choose the opposite path of big state, bureaucracy, lavish welfare and high taxes punishing entrepreneurs.

#WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

21, July #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: Regardless of which government...

Regardless of which government, Britain has simply stagnated for two decades. What do you think about the new PM's announcement of a new start for Britain's economy? Will things improve, or will it be, as always, just more debt and higher taxes throttling growth even further?

#WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

19, July #WirtschaftWackelt, #GrenzPolitik

Michael A. Arouet: 83% of Spaniards don’t even...

83% of Spaniards don’t even make €3,000 gross per month. What exactly is the point of being the immigration champion in Europe when most working people struggle to make ends meet? What do I miss here?

#WirtschaftWackelt, #GrenzPolitik

Michael A. Arouet

11, July #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: Europeans, unwilling to admit they are becoming poorer...

Europeans, unwilling to admit they are becoming poorer, argue that in the US only the super-rich are doing well, while Europeans are better off than Americans. Nope, Americans, excluding the top 1% and even the poorest 20%, are much better off than their European equivalents.

#WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

07, July #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: There is a lot of talk about Germany...

There is a lot of talk about Germany spending one third of its budget on defense in a few years. If you underspend for decades to fund lavish welfare, the catch-up must be expensive. The times of welfare for all are over, something has to give, especially in a weak economy.

#WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

21, May #WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet: Mit seiner Arroganz hat Deutschland...

Mit seiner Arroganz hat Deutschland jahrelang die Welt über Moral und Klima belehrt Dann begannen Fabriken zu schließen, Energiepreise explodierten, die Infrastruktur verfiel, und das soziale Vertrauen brach zusammen Es stellt sich heraus, dass linke-grüne Ideologie keine Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft antreibt. Die Industrie tut es

#WirtschaftWackelt

Michael A. Arouet

02, March

Michael A. Arouet: Did you know that Europe used to produce more natural gas than Russia...

Did you know that Europe used to produce more natural gas than Russia? Then the greens decided to sacrifice Europe’s geopolitical and economic security on the altar of the green religion. Imagine what happens to Europe’s economy and societies if the scenario below materializes.

Michael A. Arouet

01, March #KonfliktModus

Michael A. Arouet: While Iranians around the world and in Iran celebrate...

While Iranians around the world and in Iran celebrate, the Western left is mad about the US and Israel going after the evil regime. The left prefers to support those who slaughtered innocent young women, after October 7th and now again. The left is morally bankrupt. Full stop.

#KonfliktModus

Michael A. Arouet

28, February #KonfliktModus

Michael A. Arouet: I have just cancelled my Dubai trip...

I have just cancelled my Dubai trip this year. I'm sure many others do the same. Today is a game-changer. Dubai has always been expensive, but it offered great winter weather and fantastic restaurants. Who will pay the price of a small car for a holiday to watch drones?

#KonfliktModus

Michael A. Arouet

27, February

Michael A. Arouet: Can someone please explain German green paranoia...

Can someone please explain German green paranoia? Don’t they have other, more pressing issues? If they put a fraction of the money and energy spent on “green” projects into innovation and deregulation, Germany would be growing again.

Michael A. Arouet

27, February

Michael A. Arouet: The main problem with Germany is...

The main problem with Germany is that the generation which rebuilt it after WWII has retired, and the new generation naively follows left-green fairytales, and takes for granted the prosperity their fathers worked so hard for. Germany would need to fall hard, before they get it.

Michael A. Arouet

18, February

Michael A. Arouet: Eye-opening chart...

Eye-opening chart. Germany is in its deepest crisis since WWII. Its outdated business and economic model is simply broken. More debt to fix a few bridges or plant more trees in Berlin, without deep structural reforms, won’t change anything. It will just slow down the agony. Chart @DanielKral1

Michael A. Arouet

14, February

Michael A. Arouet: I wouldn't call them stupid, I'd call them low IQ...

I wouldn't call them stupid, I'd call them low IQ. The left doesn't like hearing the inconvenient truth, but wealth distribution is similar to intelligence distribution. Why does the left always try to punish people for their intelligence with higher taxes? Is this fair?

Michael A. Arouet

09, February

Michael A. Arouet: Just when one thinks German left-green ideology...

Just when one thinks German left-green ideology can't surprise one anymore. Did you know road salt is banned in Berlin? Hospitals are full of people with broken legs and other injuries. In which parallel universe do the Greens live?